Saturday, 13 September 2025
Jakarta
--:--
Tokyo
--:--
Hongkong
--:--
New York
--:--
Oil rises 2% as investors assess Iran-Israel ceasefire, Fed outlook
Wednesday, 25 June 2025 15:49 WIB | OIL |Oil,

Oil prices climbed on Wednesday as investors assessed the stability of a ceasefire between Iran and Israel, while support also came from market expectations that interest rate cuts could happen soon in the United States, the world's largest economy.

Brent crude futures rose $1.2, or 1.8%, to $68.34 a barrel at 0701 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude gained $1.18 cents, or 1.8%, to $65.55.

Brent settled on Tuesday at its lowest since June 10 and WTI since June 5, both before Israel launched a surprise attack on key Iranian military and nuclear facilities on June 13.

Prices had rallied to five-month highs after the U.S. attacked Iran's nuclear facilities over the weekend.

"Geopolitical risk premiums have been reduced and will take a backseat for now...Fed Chair Powell's first testimony to Congress (yesterday) has hinted at a slight chance of bringing forward the first rate cut of 2025 to July...which should offer some form of floor on oil prices from the demand side," said OANDA senior market analyst Kelvin Wong.

Lower interest rates typically spur economic growth and demand for oil.

A slew of U.S. macroeconomic data released overnight including on consumer confidence showed possibly weaker than expected economic growth in the world's largest oil consumer, bolstering expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts this year. Futures point to nearly 60 basis points worth of easing by December.

On the geopolitical front, a preliminary U.S. intelligence assessment said U.S. airstrikes did not destroy Iran's nuclear capability and only set it back by a few months, as a shaky ceasefire brokered by U.S. President Donald Trump took hold between Iran and Israel.

Earlier on Tuesday, both Iran and Israel signalled that the air war between the two nations had ended, at least for now, after Trump publicly scolded them for violating a ceasefire.

As the two countries lifted civilian restrictions after 12 days of war - which the U.S. joined with an attack on Iran's uranium-enrichment facilities - each sought to claim victory.

Oil prices will likely consolidate at around $65-70 per barrel levels as traders look to more U.S. macroeconomic data this week and the Fed's rate decision, said independent market analyst Tina Teng.

Investors were also waiting on U.S. government data on domestic crude and fuel stockpiles due on Wednesday. [EIA/S]

Industry data showed U.S. crude inventories fell by 4.23 million barrels in the week ended June 20, market sources said, citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday. [API/S]

Source: Investing.com

RELATED NEWS
Oil Prices Rise as Ukrainian Drone Strikes Hit Key Russian Baltic Hubs...
Friday, 12 September 2025 19:23 WIB

Oil prices continued their rally amid growing concerns that Ukrainian drone attacks could disrupt oil flows through Russia's two most important crude export hubs on the Baltic coast. Brent crude rose...

Oil prices steady as oversupply expectations offset production risks...
Friday, 12 September 2025 16:07 WIB

Oil prices held steady on Friday (September 12th) as concerns about oversupply and weakening U.S. demand offset the risk of supply disruptions stemming from conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine. ...

Oil Holds Drop as IEA Puts Glut Back in Focus After OPEC+ Hikes...
Friday, 12 September 2025 07:04 WIB

Oil held a decline after the International Energy Agency projected an even bigger surplus next year, with the bearish outlook offsetting concerns about geopolitical tensions from the Middle East ...

Oil prices slide 2% on oversupply, weaker US demand...
Friday, 12 September 2025 01:54 WIB

Oil prices slid about 2% on Thursday on concerns over softening U.S. demand and broad oversupply that offset threats to output from the conflict in the Middle East and the war in Ukraine. Brent crude...

Oil Prices Fall 1% On Oversupply And Weakening US Demand...
Thursday, 11 September 2025 20:03 WIB

Oil prices fell on Thursday (September 11), pressured by concerns over weakening US demand and a widespread oversupply, offsetting the threat to production from conflicts in the Middle East and Russia...

LATEST NEWS
Gold rises as weak US sentiment and jobs data fuel rate cut expectations

Gold prices rise over 0.44% during Friday's North American session as weaker than expected jobs market data increased the chances that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates next week. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades at $3,649...

Fed hawks and doves: what US central bankers are saying

The Federal Reserve is expected to deliver its first interest-rate cut this year at its September 16-17 meeting, as it moves to counter a cooling labor market even as inflation remains above target. The anticipated quarter-point reduction may not...

US dollar rises on positioning moves, but outlook remains bearish

The U.S. dollar rose on Friday, a day after falling on a surge in U.S. jobless claims and modest inflation, as investors expected the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates next week after a roughly nine-month hiatus. The greenback rose 0.3% to...

POPULAR NEWS
IMF says Fed has scope to lower interest rates
Friday, 12 September 2025 01:38 WIB

The International Monetary Fund on Thursday said the Federal Reserve has scope to lower interest rates because of the weakening U.S. labor market,...

Fed seen on course for rate cuts after PPI data
Thursday, 11 September 2025 01:30 WIB

The Federal Reserve is likely to start a series of interest-rate cuts next week and keep going through the end of the year, traders bet on Wednesday...

Breaking News: US Annual PPI Inflation Falls to 2.6% in August, Compared to an Expected 3.3%
Wednesday, 10 September 2025 19:39 WIB

Producer inflation in the United States, as measured by the change in the Producer Price Index (PPI), fell to 2.6% annually in August from 3.3% in...

Breaking News: US CPI Inflation Rises to 2.9% in August, Matching Forecasts
Thursday, 11 September 2025 19:44 WIB

Annual inflation in the United States (US), as measured by changes in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), rose to 2.9% in August from 2.7% in July, the...